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It really is the only option. Ladies, careful with those pointy shoes…. The big aspect pattern of , Jupiter square Neptune will impact your learning sector during on Jan 6, Jun 16 and Sep This will make you curious about spiritual wisdom and how it can help you in your daily life. Career reboots should happen with the summer eclipses will really help remove any stubborn grime that has accumulated in your home.

If you work for yourself then you can much better utilise this energy with a new course of study. If you are a healer then this square is particularly useful as you can use its cleansing qualities for a detox. The Libra zodiac sign shows that this month will see your family affairs have difficulties since the combination of stars facing you are not favorable.

Financial problems will face everyone in the family hence you need to plan earlier to meet expenses before you go bankrupt. You might lose your cool with the Libra children due to their indiscipline but control the same and help them get back in line. According to the Libra February horoscope ; you will enjoy good health until the 23 rd of this month. This will see you make improvements in your diet and fitness procedures.

It is advisable that you do not make any changes at this time to enhance stability with your health. Based on the February horoscope , Libra, you should forget about career growth this month since the planetary positions are not in your favor. With problems in the family, there is nothing much you can do about your career but wait for better days.

The Libra monthly horoscope for February predicts that your financial prospects only improve after the 7 th of this month. However, overall earnings are superb this month. A person born on February 14th excels at being different from everyone else. Their talents will usually be found in unusual activities and places too, and while we might expect an Aquarius to artistically express, this is someone with a knack for mathematics or history, a programmer, astrologer, or an architect, someone to create something in the real world that is to be used.

To inspire others, they must embrace their limitations and see their true nature as unique and special, even if it doesn't coincide with their closest surroundings or their family. The crystal that fits the nature of an Aquarius born on February 14th is fosterite, in any color available. It is a stone that enhances communication with spirit guides and it will help one understand and receive messages of the Universe. International law also limits the scope of what the Trump administration can do. It must develop cases industry by industry, proving that China is damaging American rivals through unfair practices.

Trump has suggested taking the extraordinary step of abandoning the W. His successful strong-arming of Carrier, the air-conditioner company, which agreed to keep 1, jobs at a plant in Indiana rather than move them to Mexico, attests to his priorities in delivering on his trade promises. The people advising Mr. Trump on trade have records of advocating a pugnacious response to what they portray as Chinese predations.

Navarro also cast the threat of tariffs as an opening gambit in a refashioning of trade positions. As automation spreads, robots are primed to secure most of the jobs. Trump is wielding a blunt instrument whose impacts are increasingly easy to evade by sophisticated businesses with operations across multiple borders.

The geography of global trade is perpetually being redrawn. In China, factory owners, casting a wary eye on Mr.

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Trump, are accelerating their exploration of alternative locales with lower-wage workers across Southeast Asia and even as far away as Africa. In Vietnam, entrepreneurs are preparing for a potential surge of incoming investment from China should Mr. In Europe, factories that sell manufacturing equipment to China are watching to see if Mr. Trump will unleash trade hostilities that will damage global growth. It imposed tariffs reaching 35 percent. A subsequent analysis by the Peterson Institute for International Economics, a nonpartisan think tank, calculated the effect: That prompted households to cut spending at retailers, resulting in more than 2, net jobs lost.

Crew, operating 11 factories worldwide. If that trade is disrupted, the work would flow to other low-cost countries like Bangladesh, India and Indonesia. Lee can envision no situation in which the physically taxing, monotonous work of making garments will go to the United States. The rest of the world holds billions of hands willing to work cheaply. If the cost of making trousers becomes less appealing in China, a room full of sewing machines in Cambodia can quickly be filled with low-wage seamstresses.

Industries involving precision machinery are not so easily reassembled somewhere else. An abrupt change to the economics would devastate factories that could not quickly line up alternative suppliers. American automakers are especially dependent on the global supply chain. Between and , the percentage of imported components that went into exported American-made vehicles grew to 35 percent, from 24 percent, according to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development.

Il y en avait en Last year, it was 9. Census Bureau data , the American poverty rate has moved between On three occasions , and it reached over 15 percent of the population. Those were post-recession peaks that disappeared as soon as the economy recovered. Marian Tupy More Americans believe in astrology and reincarnation than in progress.

But poverty, malnutrition, illiteracy, child labour and infant mortality are falling faster than at any other time in human history. The risk of being caught up in a war, subjected to a dictatorship or of dying in a natural disaster is smaller than ever. Part of our problem is one of success. As we get richer, our tolerance for global poverty diminishes. So we get angrier about injustices. But since the Cold War ended, extreme poverty has decreased from 37 per cent to 9. As we become richer, we have become cleaner and greener. The quantity of oil spilt in our oceans has decreased by 99 per cent since Forests are reappearing, even in emerging countries like India and China.

And technology is helping to mitigate the effects of global warming. We obsess over new or ongoing fights, such as the horrifying civil war in Syria — but we forget the conflicts that have ended in countries such as Colombia, Sri Lanka, Angola and Chad. We remember recent wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, which have killed around , But we struggle to recall that two million died in conflicts in those countries in the s.

The jihadi terrorist threat is new and frightening — but Islamists kill comparatively few. So why does everybody remain convinced that the world is going to the dogs? Because that is what we pay attention to, as the thoroughbred fretters we are. The psychologists Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky have shown that people do not base their assumptions on how frequently something happens, but on how easy it is to recall examples.

And what is more memorable than horror? Just a few decades ago, you would read that an Asian city with , people was wiped out in a cyclone on a small notice on page We would never have heard about Burmese serial killers. Now we live in an era with global media and iPhone cameras everywhere. Since there is always a natural disaster or a serial murderer somewhere in the world, it will always top the news cycle — giving us the mistaken impression that it is more common than before. It is easy to mistake changes in ourselves for changes in the world.

Quite often when I ask people about their ideal era, the moment in world history when they think it was the most harmonious and happy, they say it was the era they grew up in. Is it a coincidence that the western world is experiencing this great wave of pessimism at the moment that the baby-boom generation is retiring?

Ce serait se tirer une balle dans le pied. Ils veulent tout stopper. Je suis donc un optimiste soucieux. Selon la Banque mondiale….

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Certains indicateurs baissent un peu et il y a de nouveaux risques. II faut vaincre les terroristes, mais ne pas paniquer. Le pape devrait faire relire ses discours [rires]. Cela montre que la richesse et le PIB ne sont pas tout. Mais comment y faire face? Cela vous rend un peu inquiet pour votre civilisation [rires]. Il y a toujours un danger contre la raison. Globalization and Poverty The last forty years have seen a massive and historically unprecedented decline in global poverty Marian Tupy Reason November 22, Remember the good life during the s?

If you do, your experience is not likely to have been a typical one. In fact, the economic liberalization and globalization that started in the late s and accelerated in the s, has led to a massive and historically unprecedented decline in global poverty. Contrary to much of the public perception, liberalization and globalization have not led to an increase in U. Let us look at the global picture first. Have those advances come at the expense of the American worker?

Instead, our poverty rate is determined by the U. On pourrait penser que la gauche applaudirait! Non, elle ne supporte pas que ce soit la droite qui le fasse et encore moins Martin Hirsch au sein de la droite. Comment cela peut-il se traduire politiquement? On analyse toujours ces votes comme un peu irrationnels, protestataires. Les politiques ne voient-ils pas ce qui se passe ou ne veulent-ils pas le voir?

Ils connaissent leurs territoires. An economist asks provocative questions about the future of social mobility The Economist Sep 21st The idea is unthinkable, say political leaders of right and left.

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Mr Cowen is no stranger to controversy. His new book suggests that the disruptive effects of automation and ever-cheaper computer power have only just begun to be felt. It describes a future largely stripped of middling jobs and broad prosperity. They will enjoy great wealth and stimulating lives.

Some will thrive as service-providers to the rich. In his future, mistakes and even mediocrity will be hard to hide: Young men will struggle in a labour market that rewards conscientiousness over muscle. Many will accept rotten public services in exchange for low taxes. This may sound a bit grim, but it reflects real-world trends: The left is sure that inequality is a recipe for riots.

Mr Cowen doubts it. The have-nots will be too engrossed in video games to light real petrol bombs. An ageing population will be rather conservative, he thinks. There will be lots of Tea-Party sorts among the economically left-behind.

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Aid for the poor will be slashed but benefits for the old preserved. He does not fear protectionism, as most jobs that can be sent overseas have already gone. He notes that the late s, when society was in turmoil, was a golden age of income equality, while some highly unequal moments in history, including in medieval times, were rather stable. Inter-generational tensions fuelled s unrest and would be back with a vengeance, this time in the form of economic competition for scarce resources. The Middle Ages were stable partly because peasants could not vote; an unhappy modern electorate, by contrast, would be prey to demagogues peddling simple solutions, from xenophobia to soak-the-rich taxes, or harsh, self-defeating crime policies.

Politicians are skittish about admitting this. Think of technology, he tells audiences, and how it has thinned the ranks of travel agents, bank clerks and other middle-class gateway jobs. But then Mr Obama implies that political villainy is the real culprit. Republicans are just as partisan. Senator Marco Rubio of Florida, a son of Cuban immigrants, likes to say that had he not been born in post-war America in an era of high social mobility, he would probably be a very opinionated bartender. In short, both sides never tire of explaining how the other is destroying the American Dream.

Alas, neither can explain, convincingly, how to revive it. For their part Republican leaders offer long-cherished shrink-the-government schemes, rebranded as plans to save the American Dream. They say that tax cuts and deregulation would trigger a private-sector investment boom. In truth, the links between investment and government policy are rarely so neat, and even such a boom might do little for middle-class wage stagnation.

Many voters remember a time when hard work was reliably rewarded with economic security. This was not really true in the s and 60s if you were black or female, but the question still remains: In a country founded on hope, that would require something like a new social contract. His company, First Class Seating , makes recliner seats for movie theaters here at a factory on the shores of Lake Michigan. Since he bought the business three years ago, its work force has grown to 40 from But those jobs will be in jeopardy if President-elect Donald J. Trump follows through on his combative promises to punish countries he deems guilty of unfair trade.

Reid takes pride in using American products. His designers here in Michigan dreamed up his sleek recliner. Local hands construct the frames using American-made steel, then affix molded foam from a factory in nearby Grand Rapids. They staple upholstery to hunks of wood harvested by timber operations in Wisconsin. They do all this inside a former heating and cooling equipment factory that shut down a decade ago when the work shifted to Mexico.

But the fabric for Mr. Ditto, the plastic cup holders and the bolts and screws that hold the parts together. The motor is the work of a German company that makes it in Hungary, almost certainly using electronics from China.

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Reid estimates that a 45 percent tariff on Chinese wares would raise the costs of making a recliner here by 20 percent. Tariffs would give his factory an edge against American competitors that import even more from China. Trade experts dismiss Mr. Busch, an expert on international trade policy at Georgetown University in Washington. It violates the rule of law. There is Dan DiMicco , the former chief executive of the American steel giant Nucor, who has long advocated punitive tariffs on Chinese goods.

In an email on Friday, Mr. The goal is to force manufacturers to come back to the United States as a condition of selling into the American market. Autry said, but eventually millions of new ones would be created as the United States again hummed with factory work. Even if factory work does return to the United States, though, that is unlikely to translate into many paychecks. Reid has a business to run in the here and now. His customers are waiting for product. He must be able to tap the supply chain. In threatening tariffs, Mr. In the southern Chinese city of Guangzhou, Jiang Jiacheng exudes confidence that China will continue to serve as the factory floor for the world — with tariffs or otherwise.

His company, the Guangzhou Shuqee Digital Tech Company, makes movie chairs, exporting about 20 percent of its wares to the United States. They work six days a week. Lax environmental rules allow him to dispose of pollutants cheaply. Back in September, Mr. Jiang gathered with other Chinese movie chair manufacturers to discuss the alarming statements coming from Mr. The consensus view was not to worry. Still, he has a backup plan.

Even before President Trump entered the lexicon, Mr. Jiang was exploring a transfer of some of his work to lower-cost places like Vietnam. His company would not be the first to make the journey. A dozen years ago, the United States Commerce Department accused China of dumping wooden bedroom furniture at below cost. It imposed protective tariffs. Yen, who had a furniture factory in southern China, that was the impetus to move to Vietnam. Labor costs were cheaper. This former hive of combat is now the workplace for 5, people making sofa beds, recliner chairs and bedroom furniture. This year, the company opened a second Vietnam factory.

Yen confidence that Mr. Brands that deliver factory-made goods to American retailers have leaned heavily on Asian suppliers to secure low prices. In pledging to bring manufacturing back, Mr. Trump is effectively pitting the interests of a relatively small group of people — those who work in factories — against hundreds of millions of consumers.

Seven years ago, the Obama administration accused China of unfairly subsidizing tires. A subsequent analysis by the Peterson Institute for International Economics , a nonpartisan think tank, calculated the effect: Horgen, a Swiss village on the shores of Lake Zurich, seems far removed from the gritty industrial zones of Asia.

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With its gingerbread homes and mountain views, it looks more like a resort. Its machines turn polyester and other synthetic fibers into custom-designed threads. If the rise of textiles in Asia has been a gold rush, this Swiss company has been among those cashing in by making the picks and shovels. It makes its most sophisticated components in Switzerland and at another plant in Italy. It uses China for lower-grade machines. The company sells virtually all of its products abroad, chiefly in Asia. It buys metal parts from the Czech Republic and Poland, electronic components from Malaysia, and electric motors from an American company that makes them at a factory in India.

Another American company supplies software. If the United States were to impose trade barriers on China, that might slow Chinese demand for Swiss-made textile machinery. That would potentially reduce Swiss purchases of American goods and services. Maurer struggles to see how this would create any jobs in the United States. The American textile industry is small and increasingly dominated by robots. But the textile and apparel trades are relatively simple businesses. It buys tiny parts and slots them into circuit boards, which are sold to major automakers. Some 80 percent of the components are imported from China.

Even that number fails to capture the degree to which the company — and its workers — depend on unfettered trade. Pat LeBlanc, the chairman, pointed to a nib of metal on a circuit board. The silicon was extracted at a plant in Minnesota, then processed into a thin wafer at another factory in Massachusetts. The wafer was shipped to China for testing, cut into pieces at another Chinese factory, and then delivered to the Philippines for a chemical process. Then it went back to China to be put onto a reel that can be inserted into soldering machines here in Michigan.

Reid, the owner of the theater seating company, could not imagine having to buy everything from American suppliers. Buying upholstery domestically would raise his fabric costs as much as 40 percent. Some of these industries have just been abandoned. He wandered into the paint shop, where a worker was spraying chair backs. He picked up a can of paint and read the label: Qui la France soutient-elle?

Et si de Gaulle ou le premier Mohamed venu de nos banlieues avaient vu juste? Cobb, Sammy Davis, Jr. Mais elle est fascinante. Jews are a famously accomplished group. They make up 0. Jews make up 2 percent of the U. Pease lists some of the explanations people have given for this record of achievement. The Jewish faith encourages a belief in progress and personal accountability. It is learning-based, not rite-based. Most Jews gave up or were forced to give up farming in the Middle Ages; their descendants have been living off of their wits ever since.

They have congregated around global crossroads and have benefited from the creative tension endemic in such places. No single explanation can account for the record of Jewish achievement. The odd thing is that Israel has not traditionally been strongest where the Jews in the Diaspora were strongest. Instead of research and commerce, Israelis were forced to devote their energies to fighting and politics. Milton Friedman used to joke that Israel disproved every Jewish stereotype.

People used to think Jews were good cooks, good economic managers and bad soldiers; Israel proved them wrong. But that has changed.

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The most resourceful Israelis are going into technology and commerce, not politics. Israel has more high-tech start-ups per capita than any other nation on earth, by far. It leads the world in civilian research-and-development spending per capita. It ranks second behind the U. Israel, with seven million people, attracts as much venture capital as France and Germany combined. Because of the strength of the economy, Israel has weathered the global recession reasonably well. The government did not have to bail out its banks or set off an explosion in short-term spending.

The country was not founded so stray settlers could sit among thousands of angry Palestinians in Hebron. It was founded so Jews would have a safe place to come together and create things for the world. This shift in the Israeli identity has long-term implications. Netanyahu preaches the optimistic view: And, in fact, there are strands of evidence to support that view in places like the West Bank and Jordan. All the countries in the region talk about encouraging innovation.

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Some oil-rich states spend billions trying to build science centers. But places like Silicon Valley and Tel Aviv are created by a confluence of cultural forces, not money. The surrounding nations do not have the tradition of free intellectual exchange and technical creativity. For example, between and , Egyptians registered 77 patents in the U. The tech boom also creates a new vulnerability. As Jeffrey Goldberg of The Atlantic has argued, these innovators are the most mobile people on earth. It just has to foment enough instability so the entrepreneurs decide they had better move to Palo Alto, where many of them already have contacts and homes.

American Jews used to keep a foothold in Israel in case things got bad here. Now Israelis keep a foothold in the U. During a decade of grim foreboding, Israel has become an astonishing success story, but also a highly mobile one. Jews are extravagantly overrepresented in every field of intellectual accomplishment. As one would expect, they cover just about every important aspect of the topic. But there is a lacuna, and not one involving some obscure bit of Judaica. I have personal experience with the reluctance of Jews to talk about Jewish accomplishment—my co-author, the late Richard Herrnstein, gently resisted the paragraphs on Jewish IQ that I insisted on putting in The Bell Curve Both history and the contemporary revival of anti-Semitism in Europe make it easy to understand the reasons for that reluctance.

Recent scholarship is expanding our understanding of its origins. And so this Scots-Irish Gentile from Iowa hereby undertakes to tell the story. I cover three topics: F rom B. But what a pair they are. The first is the fully realized conceptualization of monotheism, expressed through one of the literary treasures of the world, the Hebrew Bible. It not only laid the foundation for three great religions but, as Thomas Cahill describes in The Gifts of the Jews , introduced a way of looking at the meaning of human life and the nature of history that defines core elements of the modern sensibility.

The second achievement is not often treated as a Jewish one but clearly is: Christian theology expressed through the New Testament, an accomplishment that has spilled into every aspect of Western civilization. But religious literature is the exception. The Jews do not appear in the annals of philosophy, drama, visual art, mathematics, or the natural sciences during the eighteen centuries from the time of Homer through the first millennium C.

It is unclear to what extent this reflects a lack of activity or the lack of a readily available record.

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For example, only a handful of the scientists of the Middle Ages are mentioned in most histories of science, and none was a Jew. But when George Sarton put a high-powered lens to the Middle Ages in his monumental Introduction to the History of Science , he found that 95 of the known scientists working everywhere in the world from to were Jews—15 percent of the total, far out of proportion to the Jewish population.

But this only exemplifies the difficulty of assessing Jewish intellectual activity in that period. Aside from Maimonides and a few others, these thinkers and artists did not perceptibly influence history or culture outside the confines of the Jewish world.

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